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Hurricane Gustav - 2008
Updated 08-28-08 07:31:19pm by Indy
ClimatePatrol.com Hurricane Gustav Resources
Tropical Storm Gustav - 2008 Discussion
Storm Floater #1 - IR Satellite Feed
Storm Floater #1 - Dvorak Satellite Feed
Storm Floater #1 - Water Vapor Satellite Feed
000
WTNT32 KNHC 282337
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008
...CENTER OF GUSTAV NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA...
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
GRANMA.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES... 25 KM...WEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 300 MILES...
485 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL CROSS
JAMAICA TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS FRIDAY
OR FRIDAY NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT WHILE GUSTAV CROSSES
JAMAICA...BUT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER. KINGSTON RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
49 MPH...80 KM/HR.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
ON JAMAICA IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN
CUBA. RAINFALL WILL BE DIMINISHING OVER HAITI TONIGHT...WITH AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...17.9 N...77.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Chaitén Eruption Continues
Updated 08-24-08 03:16:59pm by Indy
Update: August 24th
As of today there is nothing new to report on the eruption. All indications are that the eruption continues at a low level.
Update: August 14th
The eruption chemistry has changed and now poses a greater risk to the climate. How long will this eruption continue?
Read the latest: Fresh Bilge Update #51
Update: August 8th
According to web cam images from today the eruption of Chaitén continues. The eruption is now over three months old.
Update: August 1st
"Weather is cloudy at the volcano, but the cloud base was high enough for viewing when the big eruption began soon after dawn. The webcam showed a huge widening of the plume base — the whole dome-top blowing away — then an immense darkness, then the paler ashfall running coastward. The camera may not survive long, if this is as big an event as I suspect. Winds have shifted to W at upper levels, but NE near the surface, so at least some of the plume is coming over the camera location."
Fresh Bilge - Chaitén Blows Up (Read The Full Report)
Update: July 28th
"Although surface manifestations of eruption have continued to decline, the seismicity indicates significant movement of magma, and official concern is high. Another major eruption appears to be imminent, and it could be at least as large as the early May event — or larger still."
Fresh Bilge - Chaiten Update #40 (Read The Full Report)
About Chaiten:
Since the beginning of May 2008 the Chaitén volcano has been erupting nonstop. Prior to that it is estimated that the volcano had been dormant for some 8,000 or 9,000 years. The potential exists for a very large magma chamber below the volcano. Pre eruption quakes may indicate a magma chamber capable of supporting an eruption on the scale of Mount Tambora.
With the eruption alive and well after 6 weeks and unprecedented dome building I find it important to keep this story featured on our home page until the eruption has ended and the all clear has been given.
Why? Because an eruption on the scale of Mount Tambora has the ability to seriously alter our climate and since the U.S. media isn't giving this story a minute of coverage I felt it important to keep everyone informed.
All the credit in the world goes to the Fresh Bilge blog for continuous coverage of this event.
Join Chaitén Eruption Coverage and share your comments.
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